The Air Passenger Forecast tracks air passenger flows across nearly 4,000 global country-to-country routes, pairing nearly two decades of history with a 20-year outlook.
The Air Passenger Forecast (APF) provides long-term forecasts of air passenger flows across thousands of routes worldwide, alongside total passenger flows by country and region. It pairs history back to 2006 with a 20-year outlook, delivering a consistent, forward-looking view of global air travel. Understand not only how traffic has moved, but where it is likely to go.
What you can do
Air travel is shaped by forces that rarely move in a straight line: economic cycles, liberalization, energy costs, and the sustainability agenda. Alongside a baseline forecast, the Air Passenger Forecast provides upside and downside scenarios and regular trend analysis, so you can understand the risks around the outlook, not just a single number.
The Air Passenger Forecast combines global aviation data with the Oxford Economics Global Economic Model, a globally recognized framework, so passenger projections move in step with the economic and demographic forces that drive air travel. As an independent, third-party research firm, Tourism Economics stays objective amid a changing air landscape.
Evaluate where demand is growing to guide new routes, frequencies, and network strategy.
Anticipate long-term passenger growth to plan capacity, terminals, and airport infrastructure.
Bring independent, long-range demand forecasts to financing, feasibility, and air service development.
The Air Passenger Forecast brings together data, scenarios, and analysis, including:
Plus, receive regular data and report updates, invitations to webinars, and direct economist support.
The Air Passenger Forecast (APF) is a subscription service providing long-term forecasts of air passenger flows across nearly 4,000 routes worldwide plus total flows by country and region. It pairs historical data with a 20-year outlook and includes baseline, upside, and downside scenarios.
APF provides a 20-year outlook alongside history back to 2006, and the data is updated quarterly, with each update accompanied by trend analysis.
Routes are defined as country and region pairs, which gives a consistent basis for comparing air travel across markets worldwide, rather than airport-to-airport detail.
The Global Travel Service covers travel demand across all modes of transport with detail on an origin-destination basis by country. The Air Passenger Forecast focuses specifically on air passenger flows by route. The two are designed to work together, so clients can move between total travel demand and the air component of it.